BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

An outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027.

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About BFAP


The Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), founded in 2004,
is a non-profit organisation. BFAP exists with the distinct purpose to
objectively inform and support decision-making by stakeholders in the agro-food,
fibre and beverage sectors of Africa. It provides independent, rigorously tested,
research-based market and policy analyses. BFAP consists of a network of 45
employees, including associates and researchers at universities spanning the African continent.

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BFAP IN THE MEDIA

Perspectives on Agriculture’s contribution to 2019Q1 growth

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

  Read more on agriculture’s contribution to the first quarter economic growth figures released recently      

Food Inflation in 2019Q2 and 2019Q3

Monday, May 27, 2019

This report covers recent trends and a food inflation outlook over the next three months. Read report.

Press Release – 2017 Competitiveness Study

Wednesday, April 3, 2019

Read our latest press release on the competitiveness of the South African broiler industry here.

Competitiveness of the South African Broiler Industry

Monday, March 25, 2019

This report benchmarks the efficiency of  South-African broiler producers. It considers terms technical efficiency and production cost in SA relative to other leading producers globally. Read more here.  

OUR WORK

BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018 -2027

THE 2018 EDITION of the BFAP South African Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027, within the context of the current uncertainty regarding land reform policies…

Small Scale Broiler Production in SA


It is agreed that agriculture provides avenues for impoverished households to produce and trade their way out of poverty. However, this requires market access and value chain integration of small-scale farmers.

Meat Demand Elasticities in South Africa


The study aims to improve understanding of meat demand in South Africa through the estimation of a Linear Approximation of an Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) for the South African meat complex which includes beef, mutton, pork, and poultry.

Vertical Price Transmission in South African Food Chains


This study uses vertical price transmission analysis, with time series econometric techniques, to determine how underlying commodity prices manifest in final retail prices and the associated reasons for it. Implications for food inflation are also reflected on.

Genetically Modified Maize


Genetically modified (GM) crop technologies have made great strides since its first introduction in 1996. Although there is an extensive and growing body of literature on the economic impact of the adoption of GM crops in both developing and developed economies, there is only scant evidence that the technology has had any specific and distinguishable impact among female and male farmers. In economies where female farmers and female household members have a significant and often differentiated role in agriculture production, it is crucial to be able to answer this question.