BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

An outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027.

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About BFAP


The Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), founded in 2004,
is a non-profit organisation. BFAP exists with the distinct purpose to
objectively inform and support decision-making by stakeholders in the agro-food,
fibre and beverage sectors of Africa. It provides independent, rigorously tested,
research-based market and policy analyses. BFAP consists of a network of 45
employees, including associates and researchers at universities spanning the African continent.

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BFAP IN THE MEDIA

Grootplaas interviews Mrs. Marion Delport regarding BFAP’s Data Science division

Monday, February 25, 2019

To produce relevant insights, BFAP needs to process increasingly large datasets, “Big Data”, to inform decision-making. Marion discusses BFAP’s aim with the Data Science division with Grootplaas, click here to listen to the interview.

Food Inflation Outlook- Feb 2019

Friday, February 22, 2019

BFAP explores key factors expected to shape South Africa’s food inflation over the next 3 months and the cost of healthy eating. Read More.

Grootplaas interviews Prof. Ferdi Meyer regarding 2019 harvest

Monday, February 4, 2019

In light of the preliminary area estimates published by the Crop Estimates Committee on 29 January 2019, Prof. Ferdi Meyer discusses impacts on the 2019 harvest year. Click Here to listen to the interview.

Staple maize price inflation potentially back at double figures in 2019

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

A reality check regarding current-season rainfall and expectations for the 2019 maize crop. Read more.

OUR WORK

BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018 -2027

THE 2018 EDITION of the BFAP South African Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027, within the context of the current uncertainty regarding land reform policies…

Small Scale Broiler Production in SA


It is agreed that agriculture provides avenues for impoverished households to produce and trade their way out of poverty. However, this requires market access and value chain integration of small-scale farmers.

Meat Demand Elasticities in South Africa


The study aims to improve understanding of meat demand in South Africa through the estimation of a Linear Approximation of an Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) for the South African meat complex which includes beef, mutton, pork, and poultry.

Vertical Price Transmission in South African Food Chains


This study uses vertical price transmission analysis, with time series econometric techniques, to determine how underlying commodity prices manifest in final retail prices and the associated reasons for it. Implications for food inflation are also reflected on.

Genetically Modified Maize


Genetically modified (GM) crop technologies have made great strides since its first introduction in 1996. Although there is an extensive and growing body of literature on the economic impact of the adoption of GM crops in both developing and developed economies, there is only scant evidence that the technology has had any specific and distinguishable impact among female and male farmers. In economies where female farmers and female household members have a significant and often differentiated role in agriculture production, it is crucial to be able to answer this question.