BFAP 2019 Baseline

An Agricultural Outlook for South Africa

About BFAP


The Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), founded in 2004,
is a non-profit organisation. BFAP exists with the distinct purpose to
objectively inform and support decision-making by stakeholders in the agro-food,
fibre and beverage sectors of Africa. It provides independent, rigorously tested,
research-based market and policy analyses. BFAP consists of a network of 45
employees, including associates and researchers at universities spanning the African continent.

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BFAP IN THE MEDIA

Perspectives on agriculture’s performance in Q3 2019

Thursday, December 5, 2019

BFAP estimates that agriculture contracted by 8.9% on a year-on-year basis. Read this one-pager for some more details and context behind this contraction. Download Here.

Food Inflation in 2019Q4 and beyond

Friday, October 25, 2019

Benign food inflation, as experienced in early 2019, seems to gaining momentum on the back of higher commodity prices and a weaker exchange rate. These factors are also expected to support inflationary trends going into the new year. Read more.

Perspectives on Agriculture’s contribution to 2019Q2 GDP

Monday, September 16, 2019

BFAP provides context for Agriculture’s contribution to GDP in Quarter 2, 2019. Read more.

Viable budgets for Land Reform

Monday, September 2, 2019

From irrigated orchards to arid pasture areas, the costs and profits for each hectare of farming land vary wildly; The Business Day published an informative piece: Read more

OUR WORK

BFAP Baseline 2019

  Finale baseline 2019_FINAL

Small Scale Broiler Production in SA


It is agreed that agriculture provides avenues for impoverished households to produce and trade their way out of poverty. However, this requires market access and value chain integration of small-scale farmers.

Meat Demand Elasticities in South Africa


The study aims to improve understanding of meat demand in South Africa through the estimation of a Linear Approximation of an Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) for the South African meat complex which includes beef, mutton, pork, and poultry.

Vertical Price Transmission in South African Food Chains


This study uses vertical price transmission analysis, with time series econometric techniques, to determine how underlying commodity prices manifest in final retail prices and the associated reasons for it. Implications for food inflation are also reflected on.

Genetically Modified Maize


Genetically modified (GM) crop technologies have made great strides since its first introduction in 1996. Although there is an extensive and growing body of literature on the economic impact of the adoption of GM crops in both developing and developed economies, there is only scant evidence that the technology has had any specific and distinguishable impact among female and male farmers. In economies where female farmers and female household members have a significant and often differentiated role in agriculture production, it is crucial to be able to answer this question.