BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018-2027

An outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027.

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About BFAP


The Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), founded in 2004,
is a non-profit organisation. BFAP exists with the distinct purpose to
objectively inform and support decision-making by stakeholders in the agro-food,
fibre and beverage sectors of Africa. It provides independent, rigorously tested,
research-based market and policy analyses. BFAP consists of a network of 45
employees, including associates and researchers at universities spanning the African continent.

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BFAP IN THE MEDIA

Staple maize price inflation potentially back at double figures in 2019

Tuesday, December 18, 2018

A reality check regarding current-season rainfall and expectations for the 2019 maize crop. Read more.

Perspectives on Q3 GDP release

Thursday, December 6, 2018

BFAP calculates that agricultural GDP grew by 1.2% in Q3 2018 when compared to Q3 2017. Download this one-pager unpacking various sub-sector performances.

Food Inflation in South Africa – 2018 Q4

Friday, October 26, 2018

BFAP explores key factors expected to shape South Africa’s food inflation over the next 3 months and the cost of healthy eating. Read more.

An Overview of a Breeding and Technology Levy Collection System for SA

Tuesday, October 23, 2018

Investment into seed research is vital for a sustainable and competitive agricultural sector. In this context, this overview looks at the importance of a breeding and technology levy for wheat, barley and soybeans in South Africa.  View the summary  report here

OUR WORK

BFAP Baseline 2018

Agricultural Outlook 2018 -2027

THE 2018 EDITION of the BFAP South African Baseline presents an outlook of agricultural production, consumption, prices and trade in South Africa for the period 2018 to 2027, within the context of the current uncertainty regarding land reform policies…

Small Scale Broiler Production in SA


It is agreed that agriculture provides avenues for impoverished households to produce and trade their way out of poverty. However, this requires market access and value chain integration of small-scale farmers.

Meat Demand Elasticities in South Africa


The study aims to improve understanding of meat demand in South Africa through the estimation of a Linear Approximation of an Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) for the South African meat complex which includes beef, mutton, pork, and poultry.

Vertical Price Transmission in South African Food Chains


This study uses vertical price transmission analysis, with time series econometric techniques, to determine how underlying commodity prices manifest in final retail prices and the associated reasons for it. Implications for food inflation are also reflected on.

Genetically Modified Maize


Genetically modified (GM) crop technologies have made great strides since its first introduction in 1996. Although there is an extensive and growing body of literature on the economic impact of the adoption of GM crops in both developing and developed economies, there is only scant evidence that the technology has had any specific and distinguishable impact among female and male farmers. In economies where female farmers and female household members have a significant and often differentiated role in agriculture production, it is crucial to be able to answer this question.